Why Gold is Key During the Fourth Turning?
- ccancino3
- Jul 25
- 3 min read

What Is the Fourth Turning and Why Does It Matter Today?
The book “The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us About How and When This Crisis Will End” (2023), written by economist Neil Howe, is a continuation of the generational theory developed by the author with historian William Strauss. This theory proposes that history moves in generational cycles of approximately 80 to 100 years, divided into four stages:
1. High: An era of strong institutions and social conformity.
2.Awakening: A period of spiritual questioning and challenge to established institutions.
3. Unraveling: A phase of growing individualism and institutional weakening.
4. Crisis: A period of institutional upheaval and reconstruction that redefines the social and political order to make way for a new structure.
Currently, as Neil Howe refers in this book, we are living in that critical stage that began around 2008 with the Great Financial Crisis and has continued with a global pandemic, political polarization, distrust in institutions, and geopolitical conflicts. Howe foresees that this phase will extend into the 2030s, leading to a significant transformation of society.
In every Great Crisis, Gold becomes a Safe Haven
History shows that when the system enters turbulence, several assets can fail. At such times, investors and central banks have historically recurred to something more fundamental: Gold.
From the fall of the Roman Empire to the Great Depression, and from the oil crisis of the 1970s to the financial meltdown of 2008, Gold has been a safe haven, globally recognized for its ability to resist inflation, devaluation and institutional collapse.
Why Gold Becomes More Relevant in this New Stage of Crisis?
Gold does not depend on any government or central bank. It is tangible, finite, and universally accepted. Its offer cannot be manipulated with a money printer. In an era where the level of indebtedness of nations soars, confidence in fiat currencies erodes and geopolitical tensions intensify, gold offers stability, liquidity and protection.
An example of this can be seen in countries like China, Russia and India, whose central banks have significantly increased their gold reserves in recent years. This movement is no coincidence: It is a strategy of diversification and financial sovereignty in the face of a possible global reorganization.
Gold as a Pillar in a World in Transition
As we move through the fourth turning in modern history, marked by conflict and transformation, gold offers something essential: Long-term trust. It's not just about performance, it's about preserving heritage, ensuring stability and preparing for what comes after the crisis.
The Fourth Turning Is Here offers a historical perspective to understand contemporary challenges and suggests that, although the road may be turbulent, there is the possibility of renewal and strengthening of society at the end of this recession stage. During such periods of transformation and uncertainty, gold claims its value as a pillar of stability. Investing in this precious metal today doesn't mean looking to the past, but rather having a vision for the future.
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